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Tuesday, August 17, 2010

Markets are breaking out

Markets are having a nice retrace bounce today. Exactly 50% retrace from the July 1 low to August 9 high. I have no long positions open, and I will be looking for bearish setups if SPY goes to $111.80-$112.50 to begin shorting. With a tight stop loss in place as well.

Here is a chart of SUTR. It's forming a double-bottom, it might hold and it might not. The way I like to trade this set up is for it to break above $2.25 and CLOSE above it, I'd look for another rally and then a retrace off of a bull flag and then pick it up. I think this double-bottom will hold, but I'm not trading it here.

SUTR:
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1 comment:

  1. Minerals LiberiaAugust 22, 2010 at 10:05 PM

    Retail investors in the U.S., burned by two market crashes in a decade, have shunned stocks for the longest stretch in more than 23 years, upsetting the balance of power in the $10.5 trillion mutual-fund industry.

    Bond funds attracted more money than their equity counterparts in 30 straight months through June, according to the Investment Company Institute, a Washington-based trade group. Preliminary data show the trend continued in July, matching the streak posted by bonds from 1984 through 1987.

    The shift is pressuring asset managers, especially equity- focused firms such as Janus Capital Group Inc. and Capital Group Cos., because bond funds charge about 20 percent less in fees. Among the big winners are bond specialist Pacific Investment Management Co. and Vanguard Group Inc., whose index stock funds have become popular alternatives to actively managed portfolios.

    “Retail investors are still shocked by what has happened in the past two years,” James Kennedy, chief executive officer of fund manager T. Rowe Price Group Inc. in Baltimore, said in an interview last month after releasing second-quarter earnings that fell short of analysts’ estimates.

    Bond funds attracted $559 billion industrywide in the 30 months through June, according to ICI. Investors pulled $209.4 billion from domestic equity funds and $24.4 billion from funds that buy non-U.S. stocks.

    Stocks fell 26 percent including reinvested dividends during the period, as tracked by the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index.

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