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Monday, March 8, 2010

We're headed lower tomorrow (65%)

Its been 2.5 hours into today's trading session, and I'm thinking a lower close tomorrow. The markets look like its just consolidating. The bears better take the SPY down to $112.70 by Thursday if they don't want $114.30 busted through.

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Sunday, March 7, 2010

GLD revisits its neckline and pulls back.

GLD is finding resistance at its neckline. A revisit to the 20 day moving avg. looks to be a logical place to go next.


Last Wednesday, I mentioned how critcal $160 on GS was and that a big move would be coming. Sure enough the next day GS bursts through $160 on Thursday and then rallies another 2% on Friday. However it is coming into resistance.


For the SPY, I mentioned the critical level of $114.30. I said if the bears don't hold $114.30, we will see new highs! The high on Friday? $114.34! The bears did maintain $114.30 but they will have to shed blood this coming week.

Thursday, March 4, 2010

Don't cry if...

This H&S pattern decides to play out, The bulls MUST hold $112.10 target: 200-MA
*Notice the light volume and how the market is trading inverse to the dollar


*GLD and USO are both trading in VERY VERY BEARISH patterns as well.

Wednesday, March 3, 2010

Neutral to positive going into tomorrow (55%)

We closed the day NEGATIVE like I said! But volume was so light that we couldn't get a triple-digit sell off...but what's new?

On the 10-min. chart of the SPY you can see why I am neutral going into tomorrow. My bias is to the upside only because there is a BEAR pattern on the Dollar and also BULL patterns on DIA and QQQQ.

GS will make its move soon. Between tomorrow until next Wednesday. $160 on GS is major resistance and it is trading in a BEAR pattern. If it falls look for $148 then ultimately $135....

And this is why it's important to understand volume...volume up markets DOWN and vice-versa. The light volume can be attributed to the ugly weather in NY that keep the big boys away from work.

Tuesday, March 2, 2010

We will be heading lower tomorrow (75%)

I picked up some EDZ today @ $5.08

Don't short a dull market

I want to caution the bears that when volume is light, the markets drift higher. Volume has been incredibly light these past 2 weeks.

This is a daily chart of the SPY and there is a case for a possible break out of an inverse head and shoulder or is it a fakeout? We will know tomorrow. Bears must hold $114.30 or we could make new HIGHS!


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Monday, March 1, 2010

TD Ameritrade was down

I had no charts to work with today. I trade with TD Ameritrade's platform but the charts weren't loading today. Sorry. Hopefully tomorrow will be different.